NFL Week 5 Player Props: Picks for Kirk Cousins, D.K. Metcalf, and More
Like most bettors, I prefer taking the over. It’s less stressful and more fun. Although there is a time and place to hammer under bets, this is not such a time. This week, I’m targeting the two games with the highest totals for my NFL Week 5 player props. Those two games would be the Vikings vs. Seahawks and Raiders vs Chiefs.
You’ll notice that another player prop pick I have comes from the Washington Football Team’s game against the Los Angeles Rams, in which Washington has an implied total of only 20. This pick is solely based on the belief I have that this line is a bad one for the sportsbook. Let’s get into my favorite NFL player props for Week 5.
Kirk Cousins – Over 260.5 passing yards
For the first NFL player prop of Week 5, it’s a Kirk Cousins player prop.
The total for this Vikings games against the Seahawks is 57, the highest number on the slate. Cousins has Adam Thielen as his No. 1 wide receiver, but Justin Jefferson is rapidly emerging with back-to-back 100-yard games. He also has the ninth-most yards after catch (YAC) with 126.
The Seahawks are allowing 408 passing yards per game. Cousins isn’t one to throw the ball often or for many yards, but this is the week I expect him to have to.
This is my conviction play. Hammering the over on Thielen’s and Jefferson’s yards would be an acceptable correlated bet.
Check out Cousins’ player props page on SharpSide for player props odds comparison, past performance, and more.
D.K. Metcalf – Over 68.5 receiving yards
The next NFL player prop we’re looking at for Week 5 is one for D.K. Metcalf.
I like the Vikings side in this game, but I absolutely love the Seahawks side. The decision to post Metcalf over teammate Tyler Lockett came down to the fact that Lockett’s receiving props are set at 76.5. While I’ll likely bet over on both players, I feel that getting 8 yards with Metcalf makes it a safer play.
Metcalf has reached at least 92 yards in each of the first four games this season. His 144 YAC are the seventh among wide receivers. Russell Wilson is the most accurate deep-ball passer in the NFL and the Vikings have allowed the second-most completions on passes traveling at least 15 air yards.
My main concern here is that the Vikings secondary is getting healthier. Cornerback Mike Hughes returns after missing two games with a neck injury, but the concern is extremely low.
Check out Metcalf’s player props page on SharpSide for player props odds comparison, past performance, and more.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire – Over 68.5 rushing yards
The third NFL player prop we’re looking at for Week 5 is a Clyde Edwards-Helaire player prop.
What we have here is an exceptional talent on a great offense facing the Las Vegas Raiders, who an awful tackling team that is a 12-point underdog to the Kansas City Chiefs.
Edwards-Helaire is the unquestioned lead running back for a Chiefs team with an implied team total of 34. While Edward-Helaire hasn’t gained more than 64 rushing yards per game since week one, his matchup this week is as juicy as it gets.
The Raiders have allowed the most broken and missed tackles in the NFL, per Sports Info Solutions. Edwards-Helaire has 16 broken or missed tackles, which is second in the NFL behind Dalvin Cook.
Edwards-Helaire is also getting a ton of work in the run game, as he’s fifth in the NFL in rushes per game at 17.5. Feel free to get in on his rushing plus receiving prop, too, if you see it under 100 total yards.
Check out Edwards-Helaire’s player props page on SharpSide for player props odds comparison, past performance, and more.
Antonio Gibson – Over 2.5 receptions
Lastly for Week 5, we’re looking at an Antonio Gibson player prop to hop on.
Gibson has good hands and he’s seen 3 and 4 catches, respectively, over the past two weeks. This time, he gets check-down artist Kyle Allen as his starting quarterback. Allen came over from Carolina with head coach Ron Rivera.
While Gibson isn’t in the same stratosphere as Christian McCaffrey, Washington offensive coordinator Scott Turner has no issues deploying him as a receiver, much like he did with McCaffrey in Carolina. Also, the Los Angeles Rams are allowing 5.25 receptions per game to running backs.
I do have a slight concern that J.D. McKissic takes more of the passing work from Gibson in the Football Team backfield, but Gibson’s 43% snap rate is still respectable and his involvement in the passing game is one that Rivera has stressed as important, and it’s important enough for me to take the over.
Check out Gibson’s player props page on SharpSide for player props odds comparison, past performance, and more.