NFL Super Wild Card Player Props: Rams at Seahawks
The second game on NFL Super Wild Card Weekend is an NFC battle between two NFC West rivals, as the Los Angeles Rams head north to take on the Seattle Seahawks. The Seahawks are 3-point favorites on the point spread. In this article, we’ll take a look at some of our favorite Rams vs. Seahawks player props.
D.K. Metcalf – Under 60.5 receiving yards
There’s little denying that D.K. Metcalf is a stud. But do you know who else is a stud? That would be Los Angeles Rams cornerback Jalen Ramsey, who should get the bulk of the duties against Metcalf in this matchup on Saturday.
The Rams defense is very good, ranked fourth overall in defense DVOA by FootballOutsiders.com. Against the pass, FootballOutsiders.com has them fourth. Against the run, the Rams defense is ranked third.
As an individual player, Ramsey is one of the best defensive backs in the game. His rating from PFF.com has him tied for seventh among cornerbacks and he’s rated sixth in coverage. The two times Metcalf and the Seahawks saw the Rams this season, Metcalf had receiving yardage totals of 28 and 59, and it was Ramsey who got the task of shutting down Metcalf.
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It’s always going to be a little worrisome when you’re taking the under on a wide receiver who can blow by the over on one play. Metcalf can certainly rip off a 70-yard reception, either on a deep ball or by taking a slant and blowing by the defense. That said, we’ll take our chances with Ramsey, who is not only fast in order to be able to match up with Metcalf’s speed, but he’s a big, strong cornerback who can compete physically with Metcalf where many other cornerbacks have had trouble.
We also like the matchup of the Rams defensive front against Seattle’s offensive line. If Aaron Donald and company can get a fair amount of pressure on Russell Wilson, it should disrupt the passing game enough to affect Metcalf’s output.
Russell Wilson – Under 253.5 passing yards
Building off a lot of what we talked about above regarding the Metcalf player prop, we’ll be taking the under on Russell Wilson’s player prop of 253.5 passing yards.
The Seahawks aren’t throwing the ball as much as they were to begin the season, when Wilson was a frontrunner for the MVP award with the way he was performing and the numbers he was putting up. Now that Chris Carson is back healthy, the Seahawks have become more balanced. We may not agree with this approach, but it’s the approach that Seattle is taking.
As we mentioned above, the Rams have a very good defense. It’s a defense that we expect to put pressure on Wilson all game when he’s dropping back to pass, and it’s a defense that we expect to limit Seattle’s receiving options quite a bit.
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