NFL Super Wild Card Player Props: Buccaneers at Football Team
The third and final game for Saturday on NFL Super Wild Card Weekend sees Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers travel to take on the Washington Football Team. The Buccaneers are 8-point favorites on the point spread. In this article, we’ll take a look at some of our favorite Buccaneers vs. Football Team player props.
Tom Brady – Under 292.5 passing yards
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers were up and down during earlier parts of the season, but they seem to have hit a nice stride riding into the playoffs, winning four straight and averaging 37 points in those wins. Tom Brady has looked pretty good recently as well, throwing for 348 yards or more in each of the three games to close out the season. In the game in which he threw for only 348 yards, Brady did so in just one half of play before he was pulled in the second half because the Buccaneers were up by so much.
Due to Brady’s recent performances, this line feels a little inflated. Now, Tampa Bay heads on the road to face the Washington Football Team. Washington was a great defensive line that can cause a ton of pressure. The best way to stop Brady is to put him under pressure, and that’s what this Washington front, led by rookie sensation Chase Young, has the ability to do.
Brady is as savvy as they come under center, so he knows Tampa Bay is going to need to do what it can do to mitigate the Washington rush. Bruce Arians should be plenty willing to work in some run plays to keep Washington honest, and run plays are good when you’re on the under for the quarterback’s passing yards.
One of Brady’s favorite targets, Mike Evans, is questionable. Evans finally got on the practice field on Thursday, but it was in a limited fashion. It’s the playoffs, so there’s a decent chance Evans toughs it out as best he can, but that doesn’t mean he has to be out there at 100%. He’ll likely be operating at less than 100%.
The point spread indicates that the Buccaneers are the much better team, and they very well might be. Tampa Bay could blow out Washington, which could lead to a more conservative game plan late for Brady and the offense.
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Ronald Jones – Over 56.5 rushing yards
With being on the under for Brady’s player prop on passing yards, we’ll be taking the over on Ronald Jones‘ rushing yards player prop, which is at 56.5. If we think there’s a decent chance that Tampa Bay calls more run plays to help take some pressure off Brady and keep Washington’s defense honest, and also a chance that Tampa Bay is up a bit late and trying to run the clock out, then the chances of Jones hitting the over on this player prop should increase.
Jones is a capable back with good burst and he’s averaging 5.1 yards per attempt this season. He’s had some lingering injuries this season, but Jones was a full participant in practice on Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday this week.
J.D. McKissic – Over 34.5 receiving yards
Tampa Bay has a good defense, but it’s more likely for that to affect other areas of the Washington offense than J.D. McKissic, who is averaging more than 6 targets per game. Five times this season, McKissic has seen 10 targets or more in a game.
Alex Smith is the likely quarterback for Washington in this one, and he’s about as safe of a quarterback as they come. Smith isn’t likely to turn the ball over and he’s not likely to force the ball down the field aggressively. If nothing is there, Smith will happily check it down and McKissic is the one to check it down to.
Like we talked about in our Colts vs. Bills player props article in regards to Nyheim Hines, McKissic is a good receiving back who doesn’t need much to hit a yardage total. We like that he presents opportunity through volume and also through his ability to break off one or two longer receptions.
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