NFL Divisional Round Betting Preview and Picks: Seattle Seahawks at Green Bay Packers
The final game in the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs comes our way Sunday evening, as the Seattle Seahawks head to Wisconsin to take on the Green Bay Packers. In this article, we’ll preview what’s to come and what we expect, plus give out a few picks for the point spread, over/under total, and a player prop.
We also enjoy you to check out the Divisional Round podcast from Gridiron Gamble football betting podcast for more on this weekend’s games.
Seattle Seahawks at Green Bay Packers (-4.5)
Over/Under: 46.5 points
Sunday, January 12th, 2020, at 6:40 p.m. ET
Green Bay, WS
The Divisional Round wraps up Sunday evening with the Seattle Seahawks taking their circus roadshow to the frozen tundra of Lambeau Field to take on Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers. Seattle clawed their way to a 17-9 victory over the Philadelphia Eagles last week, but that was largely against Josh McCown and a banged-up Eagles offense. Now they have to deal with Rodgers, Aaron Jones, and Davante Adams. Will this mark the end of Seattle’s run, or will they find a way to keep the wins coming in?
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Seahawks Continue To Find a Way
This season has been a perfect window into the Russell Wilson-Pete Carroll era. They may not have the best talent around them, and the team might be banged up with injuries, but these two keep finding ways to put Ws in the column for the Seahawks. They were inches away from sweeping the San Francisco 49ers, a much more talented team on paper, and would have earned the No. 3 seed as a result. Now, they have to win out on the road to get to the Super Bowl, but oddly enough, that seems to be this team’s comfort zone.
Seattle has quite a task on their hands this week, though. They were fortunate enough to have McCown quarterback for the Eagles for most of the game, and it was just announced that McCown was dealing with a torn hamstring in the second half of that game. This week, they face Rodgers, in his beloved Lambeau Field, in frigid cold temperatures. Of all the unlikely wins Seattle has earned this year, this one might be the most surprising if they are able to pull it off.
Which Rodgers Will Be the Difference?
All of the talk about Green Bay this year has been that they aren’t as good as their 13-3 record would indicate, and many are putting the brunt of the blame on Rodgers. But to be honest, he simply hasn’t needed to pull some of the magic tricks out of his hat that he has in past seasons, thanks to his first-name brother, Aaron Jones. The Packers haven’t had much of a running game in quite some time, and it has usually led to an unbalanced offense. That has all changed this year though, as Jones rumbled for nearly 1,100 yards, and most importantly, led the league in rushing touchdowns with 16.
Jones should be in for another big night in Lambeau, as Seattle has struggled against the run this season. They rank 22nd in the league, allowing 117 yards a game, and more importantly for Jones, they gave up the third most rushing touchdowns this season with 22. Especially given the cold temperatures, Rodgers should be looking to hand it off to Jones early and often, which should mean another big game for this fantasy stud.
Best Point Spread Pick: Packers (-4.5)
All signs are pointing to this being the end of the magical run for Seattle. They are still banged up on the offensive line, and don’t have much of a running game to speak of. That means that the Packers defensive line should be able to get pressure on Wilson, which could lead to some errant throws against a secondary full of playmakers. Seattle shouldn’t be too thrown off by the weather, but January in Lambeau is often when Rodgers comes alive. With a raucous crowd behind them, look for the Packers to jump out to an early lead, and try to stomp on Seattle’s throats from there.
Best Over/Under Pick: Under 45.5
It’s not always a direct correlation, but below freezing temperatures tend to lead to low scoring affairs. There’s no snow in the forecast, which would have driven this number even further down, but we still like the under here a fair amount. Seattle will do their best to extend their drives in order to keep No. 12 for the Packers on the sidelines, while Green Bay should also be looking to run the ball into the weak point of this Seattle defense. Most of the signs are pointing to the under here, so go ahead and jump on in.
Best Player Prop: Aaron Jones Over 68.5 Rushing Yards
Originally our play was going to be Jones anytime touchdown, but to no one’s surprise, the books have seen the trends we pointed out earlier, so the juice on that prop is all the way up to -182. Instead, we will simply go with the over rushing yards for Jones here, which still has a fair amount of juice, -148.
Jones finished the season strong, with three 100+ yard outings in his final four games, and there’s no reason to expect that Jones won’t pick up right where he left off on Sunday.