NFL AFC West Betting Preview: Division Odds, Win Totals, and More for 2020

Patrick Mahomes of the Kansas City Chiefs (photo credit: USA TODAY Sports)

Last updated: July 22, 2020

Coming off a Super Bowl victory, the Kansas City Chiefs are the big favorites to win the AFC West division. Much of the roster remains intact and the other teams in the division don’t appear to be any sort of a threat, especially with Philip Rivers no longer with the Los Angeles Chargers.

Although it feels like a formality that the Chiefs will take the AFC West crown once again, there are games to be played and a Super Bowl hangover to fade.

*All odds in this article per FanDuel Sportsbook as of July 22, 2020, and subject to change.

Odds to win the AFC West

TeamOdds as of July 22
Kansas City Chiefs-390
Los Angeles Chargers+700
Denver Broncos+1100
Las Vegas Raiders+1200

Kansas City Chiefs (-390)

Patrick Mahomes has been awesome for Kansas City and we expect nothing less from him this upcoming season, especially with the likes of Travis Kelce, Tyreek Hill, Sammy Watkins, and Mecole Hardman back. In the backfield, Damien Williams did well for the Chiefs last season, but they still added LSU’s Clyde Edwards-Helaire to this explosive offensive.

The biggest question for the Chiefs will once again be the team’s defense, but it’s less of a worry when the offense can score 50 points every game. The team has Chris Jones for another season and they drafted a linebacker, safety, defensive end, and cornerback. The linebacker, Willie Gay Jr., comes out of Mississippi State and is a speedy one. He should help fill a void in the Chiefs defense.

With Andy Reid at the helm, Mahomes under center, and last season’s Super Bowl-winning roster pretty much all there, it’s hard to believe the Chiefs don’t run away with the AFC West division crown.

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Los Angeles Chargers (+700)

The Los Angeles Chargers are the second favorite to win the AFC West, but the gap in the odds between the Chiefs and the Chargers is incredibly wide. The Chargers may be the second-best team in the division, and the betting odds say they are, but they’ll be entering next season without Philip Rivers and without Melvin Gordon. You don’t have to convince us that Rivers was on the downside of his career and running backs don’t matter, but it’s hard to argue those aren’t two very big holes to fill.

To fill the QB void, the Chargers took Oregon quarterback Justin Herbert with the No. 6 pick in the 2020 NFL Draft, but the word is that he won’t be ready in year one. Tyrod Taylor looks like he is going to be the Week 1 starter for the Chargers, which isn’t bad, but it’s hard to imagine he’s going to be the one leading them past the Chiefs for a division title.

The Chargers defense is a good one and the team added linebacker Kenneth Murray late in the first round of the draft. If Murray is able to make an immediate impact, a defense that includes Joey Bosa, Melvin Ingram, and Denzel Perryman should be very good.

Denver Broncos (+1100)

Sharp bettors have a soft spot for the Denver Broncos. Not in the sense that they’ll win the AFC West, but many are picking them to go over their win total of 7.5 wins and/or to make the playoffs.

The Broncos added former Chargers running back Gordon to the mix via free agency to go along with Phillip Lindsay and Royce Freeman. The team also added wide receiver Jerry Jeudy to pair up with Courtland Sutton. Add in a second-round pick in WR KJ Hamler and tight end Noah Fant, who is in his second season, and Drew Lock has a lot of weapons at his disposal.

On defense, the Broncos should improve. Bradley Chubb will be back from injury, the team still has Von Miller, and then Denver added both Jurrell Casey and A.J. Bouye via trades. With Vic Fangio a year into installing his defense, this could be an extremely tough unit to put up points on.

Las Vegas Raiders (+1200)

Welcome to the first season of the Las Vegas Raiders, as the franchise will move to its new home in Sin City for 2020. But for as much glitz and glam as Vegas can provide, we’re not sure how much of that will rub off on the Raiders.

Derek Carr will be back under center for the Raiders, but the team did bring in Marcus Mariota to be his backup and/or challenge him for the job, so that will be interesting to watch. Running back Josh Jacobs looked great last season and we’d expect him to continue to progress. To go along with Tyrell Williams, Hunter Renfrow, and Darren Waller, the Raiders drafted Henry Ruggs as the first wide receiver off the board in the 2020 NFL Draft.

The Raiders didn’t do much of anything to address the offensive line, though, and then the team reached a little on cornerback Damon Arnette in the first round of the draft. Las Vegas also drafted wide receivers with three of the team’s first four picks, plus the Raiders added Nelson Agholor in free agency. Are the Raiders in Las Vegas the NFL’s flashy new toy? Sure, but that doesn’t mean it’s going to amount to much.

AFC West win totals

It’s no shock to see the Chiefs with such a high win total. As we already discussed, the team is bringing back most of its Super Bowl-winning roster and they get six games against the Chargers, Broncos, and Raiders.

TeamWinsOdds as of July 22
Kansas City ChiefsOver 11.5-125
Under 11.5+105
Los Angeles ChargersOver 8-110
Under 8-110
Denver BroncosOver 7.5-110
Under 7.5-110
Las Vegas RaidersOver 7.5-105
Under 7.5-115

AFC West odds to make NFL playoffs

TeamMake Playoffs?Odds as of July 22
Kansas City ChiefsYes-850
No+560
Los Angeles ChargersYes+148
No-182
Denver BroncosYes+180
No-225
Las Vegas RaidersYes+250
No-320

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