NFL AFC South Betting Preview: Division Odds, Win Totals, and More for 2020

T.Y. Hilton of the Indianapolis Colts (photo credit: USA TODAY Sports)

Last updated: July 22, 2020

In this AFC South betting guide, we’ll preview each team’s outlook, review the odds to win the division, and more.

This season, the race to win the AFC South division looks to be between three teams. That is if we’re going off of the betting odds. The Indianapolis Colts are the division favorites, but the Tennessee Titans aren’t too far behind and the Houston Texans winning the division wouldn’t be a huge surprise either.

*All odds in this article per FanDuel Sportsbook as of July 22, 2020, and subject to change.

Odds to win the AFC South

TeamOdds as of July 22
Indianapolis Colts+135
Tennessee Titans+165
Houston Texans+300
Jacksonville Jaguars+2000

Indianapolis Colts (+135)

The Indianapolis Colts no longer have Andrew Luck as the team’s quarterback, but the Colts are still the current favorites to win the division. Instead of going with Jacoby Brissett for another season, Indianapolis brought in veteran QB Philip Rivers to be the guy.

The Colts are a pretty solid team all around. Rivers should provide an upgrade to the team’s quarterback play should he be able to protect the ball, Indianapolis has a very good offensive line, decent weapons, and a pretty solid defense. The team also has Frank Reich as head coach and he’s shown he could be the league’s next very good coach.

In the 2020 NFL Draft, the Colts added wide receiver Michael Pittman out of USC and then they picked up running back Jonathan Taylor from Wisconsin. Both of those picks came in the second round. The Taylor pick leads us to believe that the Colts just don’t want to love Marlon Mack, but who knows what Taylor will be at the next level and he’ll be a rookie. That said, Taylor will be more of a bruising, straight-ahead runner to complement Mack’s speedy and agile style.

The Colts snagged quarterback Jacob Eason out of Washington in the fourth round, and he could very well be the team’s QB of the future. It’ll be good for the Colts to have a quarterback to groom for a year or two while Rivers is there.

Another notable addition for Indianapolis is that of defensive lineman DeForest Buckner, who could really help bolster the Colts’ already good defense.

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Tennessee Titans (+165)

Last season, the Tennessee Titans were a darling of the NFL, especially in the AFC. The team started off the season going 2-4 over its first six games, but the Titans then went 7-3 over its next 10 to finish at 9-7 and make the NFL Playoffs. In the postseason, the Titans beat the New England Patriots in New England and beat the Baltimore Ravens in Baltimore before ultimately losing to the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Championship game. During the team’s run, QB Ryan Tannehill and RB Derrick Henry were on fire.

Both Tannehill and Henry will be back for this upcoming season, as the team opted to lock both of them in. Tannehill got a four-year deal and Henry was signed to the franchise tag. Much will be expected of these two going forward, especially Tannehill because he got a four-year deal for $118 million and the team officially moved on from Marcus Mariota.

A couple of big losses for the Titans came from the departures of tackle Jack Conklin and cornerback Logan Ryan. That’s why Tennessee went out and drafted tackle Isaiah Wilson in the first round and cornerback Kristian Fulton in the second round.

Much will be expected from Mike Vrabel’s team in the upcoming season after the run the Titans had last year.

Houston Texans (+300)

The Houston Texans have had a rather complexing offseason and we’re not exactly sure how to view them entering the upcoming season. Houston traded away DeAndre Hopkins, who is arguably the best wide receiver in the league, and received running back David Johnson from the Arizona Cardinals in exchange.

Johnson has battled injury and underperformance since his huge 2016 season and now the Texans are taking on his big contract when they really should be giving Deshaun Watson more weapons to throw to. The team did add WRs Randall Cobb and Brandin Cooks to the mix, but neither of those guys is Hopkins.

The Texans didn’t do much to impress in the 2020 NFL Draft, where the team could have made up for some of its questionable free agency moves. As we all know, the draft can be a crapshoot, though, so things could fall in Houston’s favor at the end of the day. We’d simply rather not rely on the luck of the draft.

At +300 to win the AFC South, the Texans could provide good value. It’s hard to imagine that a team led by Watson is the third favorite to win its division.

Jacksonville Jaguars (+2000)

Not much is expected of the Jacksonville Jaguars in the upcoming season. The team traded Nick Foles to the Chicago Bears and is planning to go with Gardner Minshew as its quarterback for the time being. Jacksonville also traded away cornerback A.J. Bouye to the Denver Broncos and defensive end Calais Campbell to the Baltimore Ravens. This all means that Jacksonville is fully embracing a tank-a-thon for the upcoming season.

The Jaguars were very busy in the 2020 NFL Draft, picking 12 players across a variety of positions. The team led with taking defensive back C.J. Henderson out of Florida with the ninth overall pick. The team then added linebacker K’Lavon Chaisson with the 20th overall pick.

It’s clear that the Jaguars are looking to the future, with another example of that being the signing of 26-year-old LB Joe Schobert to a five-year deal.

Could the Jaguars be a team to watch in the future? Sure, but it’s going to take a few years for them to get there no matter how much ‘Minshew Mania’ they have rolled up their sleeves.

AFC South win totals

The Colts and Titans both have a win total of 8.5 wins, per FanDuel Sportsbook as of June 9. The over is juiced more for the Colts, though, priced at -160. The over 8.5 wins for the Titans is at -130. As you can expect, the Jaguars have an over/under of 5 wins and the under is heavily juiced at -165.

TeamWinsOdds as of July 22
Indianapolis ColtsOver 8.5-160
Under 8.5+135
Tennessee TitansOver 8.5-130
Under 8.5+110
Houston TexansOver 7.5+100
Under 7.5-120
Jacksonville JaguarsOver 5+150
Under 5-175

AFC South odds to make NFL Playoffs

TeamMake Playoffs?Odds as of July 22
Indianapolis ColtsYes-170
No+138
Tennessee TitansYes-130
No+108
Houston TexansYes+144
No-178
Jacksonville JaguarsYes+750
No-1200

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