Monday Night Football Preview & Player Props: Buccaneers at Giants

Tom Brady of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tom Brady of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (photo credit: USA TODAY Sports)

On Monday Night Football in Week 8, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers head north to take on the New York Giants. Tom Brady and his new squad are off to a 5-2 start, while Daniel Jones and the Giants are struggling at 1-6. That’s why you’ll see a double-digit point spread if you look at the Buccaneers vs. Giants betting odds. In this Monday Night Football betting preview, we’ll break down the Buccaneers vs. Giants matchup from an NFL betting perspective and provide a few free picks for the game.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New York Giants (+13)

Monday, November 2, 2020, at 8:15 p.m. ET
MetLife Stadium
East Rutherford, NJ

Week 8 of the NFL season wraps up with Brady on primetime, as he leads the Buccaneers against the Giants. The Giants may have a 1-6 record on the season, but an upset win tonight would put them right in the thick of things in the hapless NFC East, if you can believe it. The Bucs are hoping to maintain their lead in the NFC South over the New Orleans Saints, who have won four straight after a slow start. Let’s break down this matchup and big Buccaneers vs. Giants point spread.

Does Tampa Bay Have the Best Defense in the League?

While a few other teams would like to stake their claim to having the best defense in the NFL, it’s hard to argue with the production the Tampa Bay defense has had so far this season. Tampa Bay’s defense leads the league in yards allowed per game at 291.3, thanks in large part to their stout running defense, which allows just 66 yards per game. The next closest defense, belonging to the Indianapolis Colts, allows 80 yards per game on the ground.

You’ll be hard-pressed to find a better linebacking core than Lavonte David, Devin White, and Shaq Barrett, and Tampa Bay’s secondary, which has long been the team’s weakness, is improved this season.

Bruce Arians is known to be an offensive-minded coach, but Arians and defensive coordinator Todd Bowles have the guys playing some incredible defense, and they must be licking their chops knowing they are up against Jones, who can be a turnover machine at times. It could be a long night for the Giants and their fateful if they fall behind and have to play catch-up against this defense.

Does New York Have the Worst Offense in the League?

Technically, “New York” has the two worst offenses in the league between the Giants and Jets. While the Jets take the cake in virtually every category, the Giants are not far behind, ranking 31st in total yardage and points per game, behind only the Jets in these categories. It’s fitting that the two teams share a stadium.

The Giants offense has been ravaged with injuries, losing centerpiece Saquon Barkley in Week 3 to a torn ACL. There have been constant rotations in the receiving core due to injuries. Fortunately for New York, the Giants are coming into this game about as healthy as they can be, with Devonta Freeman the only offensive starter ruled out as of yet.

The Giants will have to pass the ball early and often in this game because you simply can’t run on this Buccaneers front, so it could be a big night for the Giants receivers, or it could be a very long one.

To make free player prop picks, check out the SharpSide sports betting app, available now for iOS and Android.

Point Spread Pick: Giants (+13)

This just seems like simply too many points to cover on the road for this Tampa Bay team, despite the fact that this offense has been on fire, with point totals of 45 and 38 in the last two games. Those totals certainly feel as though they’d be enough to get a cover in tonight’s matchup, but this seems like a classic “go through the motions” type of game for Tampa Bay, who will likely have one eye on next week’s huge Sunday Night Football matchup with Drew Brees and the Saints.

The backdoor should be wide open for the Giants in this matchup, so take the heaps of points and hope you can fade the Jones disaster game.

Scotty Miller Player Prop: Over 3.5 catches

Here’s a pop quiz question for you: who leads the 2020 Tampa Bay Buccaneers in receiving yardage so far? It’s not the two star wide receivers, Mike Evans or Chris Godwin, or Brady’s old favorite toy, Rob Gronkowski. Nope, it’s none other than Scotty Miller, who has quickly become a favorite target for Brady, much to the chagrin of Evans fantasy owners.

Miller should be in line for another heavy workload tonight, with Godwin missing the game due to a broken finger. Look for Tampa Bay to pass it a ton early to get out to a nice lead and then run the clock out in the second half. Bank on Brady’s new favorite target tonight and take the over on his catches. You can even double up on the over on Miller’s receiving yardage if you would like (46.5 yards).

Tom Brady Player Prop: Under 260.5 yards

This pick is based on the likely game script that we spelled out above. The Bucs shouldn’t need Brady to throw for 300 yards tonight. They will simply rely on the team’s defense, lean on its stable of running backs, and simply salt the game away to get out with a victory.

Again, the Bucs are probably already focusing on the Saints next week, and they want to make sure their receivers are healthy for that, so we just don’t see Brady dropping back and slinging it down the field a ton tonight. Take the under on this Brady player prop.

To make free player prop picks, check out the SharpSide sports betting app, available now for iOS and Android.

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