MMA Betting Review: Figueiredo Grabs the Flyweight Title
Welcome to another edition of the SharpSide MMA Betting Review. This time, we are going to take a look back at a few of the best bets that cashed over the weekend. Although there were many obvious outcomes, several bets caught us by surprise and cashed for big money.
Deiveson Figueiredo – SUB (+630)
Proving he is the best flyweight in the world again Saturday, Deiveson Figueiredo defeated Joseph Benavidez by submission in the first round, cashing a +630 prop.
Figueiredo hurt Benavidez immediately and followed him to the ground, though Benavidez proved his toughness yet again by surviving. The onslaught was too much, however, because Figueiredo landed a second knockdown and was able to lock in the rear naked choke (RNC) this time.
The UFC finally has a flyweight champion who will defend his belt, and there’s a few very solid contenders on the horizon for Figueiredo, including Jussier Formiga who easily defeated him in 2019.
Figueiredo will likely be a heavy favorite for the time being and will still generally be dependent on landing with damage or finishing with a submission.
Jack Hermansson – RND 1 (+550)
It wasn’t a spectacular performance, but Jack Hermansson got the job done quickly, submitting Kelvin Gastelum with a heel hook in the first round.
Gastelum pressed forward, landed a takedown, advanced position, and then got caught. It was an impressive maneuver from Hermansson though not easy to duplicate, and it wasn’t the best sign that he was immediately put on his back.
Hermansson is still one of the top contenders in the middleweight division, though he’ll need to prove he’s capable of winning exchanges on the feet before he can be trusted against top competition.
Gastelum is so much better suited for welterweight and it will continue to be a challenge for him as a much smaller man in the Octagon each time he competes at middleweight.
Ariane Lipski – SUB (+805)
In one of the more surprising outcomes of the night, Ariane Lipski submitted Luana Carolina with a kneebar in the first round, cashing a +805 prop.
Lipski pressured early and jumped on top as Carolina slipped to the mat. Carolina defended by attempting to take her back but put herself in immediate danger for a leg lock and Lipski was able to capitalize.
The fight ended so quickly that it’s tough to trust Lipski going forward based on this result, however she did look strong for the one minute of action we saw.
On the flip side, Carolina was not impressive in the defeat and she may have been injured by the leg lock that finished her. For the time being, she cannot be trusted unless she is facing the absolute lowest levels of competition.
Joel Alvarez – RND 1 (+725)
Earning his first win in the UFC, Joel Alvarez submitted Joe Duffy in the first round with a guillotine choke.
Duffy announced his retirement directly after the fight ended, which wasn’t a shock, but it was certainly a disappointing way to end his career. He looked adequate to start the fight and then rushed into a takedown and simply got his neck caught.
Alvarez got the first-round finish, but it should still be noted than 95 percent or more of his professional victories have come by submission, though he hasn’t been able to land any takedowns. Fighters who can only win by getting taken down and catching submissions are not to be trusted in the long term, and there’s a decent chance Alvarez will be overhyped in his next spot.
With that said, he still has potential to develop into a prospect, though he’ll need an extremely slow build.
Amir Albazi – RND 1 (+400)
Making his UFC debut Saturday, Amir Albazi cashed a +400 prop by finishing Malcolm Gordon in the first round with a submission.
Albazi was landing strikes effectively early, got a takedown and advanced position, and then locked up a triangle after he was reversed.
It was an impressive performance for a debut, but Albazi will have a tough time climbing the rankings in a stacked bantamweight division.
Gordon was mostly considered to be a first-round-or-bust finisher, and that narrative hasn’t changed. Albazi certainly has the higher ceiling of the two and should be an interesting prospect to monitor over the next couple years.
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