MLB World Series Game 7 Betting Odds, Preview, and Prediction
Game 7 of the World Series is here, taking place Wednesday, October 30, 2019, to decide the winner of the MLB title. The Washington Nationals will be on the road against the Houston Astros and the Astros are favored on the betting odds. That said, the away team has won each of the six games so far in the 2019 MLB World Series. Let’s take a look at the MLB World Series betting odds and preview Game 7.
Wednesday, October 30, 2019, at 8 p.m. ET
Minute Maid Park
Nationals Starting Pitcher: Max Scherzer
Astros Starting Pitcher: Zack Greinke
MLB World Series Game 7 Betting Odds
The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook opened the Astros as the favorite, priced at -140. The Nationals were opened at +130. Those odds were quickly adjusted to Houston -135 and Washington +125, with updated odds below.
At DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook out of New Jersey, the prices are similar, as you can see in the table below.
*Odds updated on Wednesday, October 30, at 9:30 a.m. ET and subject to change.
How We Got To Game 7
Game 1: Nationals 5 – Astros 4
Game 2: Nationals 12 – Astros 3
Game 3: Astros 4 – Nationals 1
Game 4: Astros 8 – Nationals 1
Game 5: Astros 7 – Nationals 1
Game 6: Nationals 7 – Astros 2
Game 7: TBD
The Nationals won the first two games in Houston, winning 5-4 in Game 1 and 12-3 in Game 2. Game 3, Game 4, and Game 5 all went the way of the Astros, though, as they won 4-1, 8-1, and 7-1 in impressive fashion. The odds to win the series have flipped back and forth, and it’s been quite entertaining all along.
Houston booked 107 wins and 55 losses in the regular season, topping the American League West and earning the top seed in the AL. They beat the Tampa Bay Devil Rays in the AL Division Series, then got past the New York Yankees in the AL Championship Series.
Washington had a slightly longer road to the World Series, as they finished second in the National League East and had to play in the NL Wild Card Game first. In that single-elimination matchup, the Nationals got past the Milwaukee Brewers. The Nationals then defeated the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NL Division Series and they had to do it on the road, winning Game 5 in the best-of-five series on the road in Los Angeles. They then swept the St. Louis Cardinals in the NL Championship Series.
Despite having their backs up against the wall many times this MLB postseason, the Nationals have persevered. They just did it on the road in Game 6 of the World Series and will have to do it one more time in Game 7 to win it all.
Game 7 Preview and Prediction
Just three days after he was scratched from starting Game 5 of the World Series, Nationals right-hander Max Scherzer is expected to take the mound in Game 7. He’s the one who kicked this whole thing off for Washington, starting Game 1 and allowing just two runs in his time on the mound during that one. When he left the game after five innings, the Nationals were up 5-2 and held on to win 5-4. Scherzer posted a 2.92 ERA in the regular season and has a 2.16 ERA in the postseason.
On the mound for the Astros will be Zack Greinke, who has been up and down during the postseason. Greinke had a 2.93 ERA in the regular season, but that number is at 5.30 in the postseason. He’s been better as of late, though, including in Game 3 when he went 4.2 innings and only gave up one run en route to Houston’s 4-1 win and the team’s first victory of the series.
Whereas one could argue Greinke has been inconsistent during the postseason, Scherzer’s health could be in question. It was said that he couldn’t lift his arm, couldn’t turn his head, and needed help getting dressed due to his neck injury that kept him out of his last start. He threw a bit on Tuesday, so it seems like he’ll be good to go, but it’s not a guarantee. That said, we’ll give the edge to Scherzer in this duel.
Coming into the World Series, the Nationals were the big underdogs. They quickly flipped the odds board upside-down when they won the first two games in Houston, only for the Astros to come storming back by winning the next three in Washington. It’s been an entertaining series after many felt the Astros would make quick work of the Nationals. The Astros winning in six games was the betting favorite entering the series for how this one would end. It’s also the first time ever in American sports that the away team has won each of the first six games in a series.
Anthony Rendon is 7-for-24 in the World Series for a batting average of .292. He’s knocked in 7 RBIs, with five of those coming in Tuesday’s Game 6. Adam Eaton has also been good at the plate for the Nationals, going 7-for-21 in the World Series for an average of .333. He had a big home run in Game 7.
Juan Soto has been great for Washington, going 7-for-23 for a batting average of .304 and knocking in 6 RBIs. He’s also hit 3 homers in the World Series. In the free-to-play SharpSide sports betting app, Soto is +280 to hit a home run in Game 7. With the way the 21-year-old has been swinging the bat and his ability to rise to the occasion in the biggest moments, we like taking the yes on the MLB player prop that Soto will homer on Wednesday night.
Nationals pitcher Stephen Strasburg crushed in Game 6. He threw for 8 1/3 innings and allowed only 2 earned runs on 5 hits. Although Astros third baseman Alex Bregman did take him deep, Strasburg certainly did his part in keeping a lid on the Houston lineup. This is something Houston is going to need to be better at, but with Scherzer taking the mound in Game 7, it could be tough.
In roulette, they say to never bet against the streak, and the streak is away teams winning in this World Series. In all seriousness though, provided Scherzer is healthy, he’s as good as it gets in baseball. Even if he’s not 100 percent, we like his to overcome anything he may be lacking because that’s the type of pitcher he is. He’s gritty, tough, and will give it all he has in Game 7. Greinke’s inconsistency doesn’t bring confidence and he’s the lesser pitcher between the two.
We also like the pop we see from Washington’s bats. Again, they’ve had their backs against the wall all postseason and that won’t change in Game 7.
Best Bet: Washington Nationals ML
The Nationals are hitting well, they’re not scared of being on the road, Scherzer is the better pitcher, and we’re able to get them as plus money. Give us the underdog Washington Nationals to win it all.