Going Home with 3-2 Series Lead, Blues Heavy Favorites To Win Stanley Cup

Brayden Schenn of the St. Louis Blues
Brayden Schenn of the St. Louis Blues (photo credit: Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports)

On Thursday, June 6, the St. Louis Blues went into Boston and defeated the Bruins in Game 5 of the NHL Stanley Cup Final. With the victory, the Blues took a 3-2 series lead and will look to close it out on Sunday night in St. Louis. What has been a back-and-forth series that has seen the Bruins favored for most of it, things have now switched to the Blues being big favorites to hoist Lord Stanley’s Cup.

As of Saturday afternoon, the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook had the Blues as -280 favorites to win the series, with the Bruins at +230 underdogs. At DraftKings Sportsbook, it’s the Blues at -286 and the Bruins at +230. At FanDuel Sportsbook, the Blues were -270 favorites and the Bruins +205 underdogs. To give you an idea of the shift in price, the Bruins were -160 series favorites before it began, with the Blues at +140 underdogs.

St. Louis Blues-280-286-270
Boston Bruins+230+230+205

Game 6 could very well be the final game of the series. It takes place Sunday, June 9, at 8 p.m. ET (5 p.m. PT) in St. Louis and the Blues could close it out at home. It would be the first Stanley Cup in Blues history and they’re slight favorites in Game 6. On Saturday afternoon, the Blues were -110 to win at the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook. The Bruins were at even money.

You might be thinking why the odds for the Blues to win Game 6 aren’t that favored if St. Louis is much heavier of a favorite to win the series. First, both teams have won games on their opponent’s ice, so it’s not guaranteed that St. Louis is going to win at home. The Bruins could certainly force a Game 7, which would take the series back to Boston. Second, the series price is reflective of the fact that the Blues have two chances to win one game, Game 6 and Game 7, whereas the Bruins have to win both games. As mentioned, home ice has been iffy, so even a Game 7 in Boston doesn’t guarantee the Bruins pull it off if they force the series to go that far.

If you’re looking to bet the puck line, the Blues (-1.5) was priced at +240 and the Bruins (+1.5) was priced at -280. With the Bruins puck line being very much a favorite at -280, it should tell you what oddsmakers expect of this one. They expect a close game, as has been the case for all but one of the games so far.

The over/under for Game 6 was at 5 with the over priced at -145 and the under at +125. Such a low total, even though the over is favored, also lends note to a close one.

The bet volumes looks to be split right down the middle, but with things still a day away we could certainly see a shift here.

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