Best NBA Player Props: Free Picks and Analysis for Thursday, May 13

LaMelo Ball
LaMelo Ball of the Charlotte Hornets (photo credit: Imagn/USA TODAY Sports)

At SharpSide.com, we love player props. We also love the NBA. Pairing the two together, and we’re here to provide you with our best NBA player props of the day. In this article, you’ll find free picks and analysis for our favorite NBA player props on Thursday, May 13.

For Thursday, there’s a nine-game slate on the schedule, and we’re focusing on player props for Devin Booker and LaMelo Ball.

Devin Booker – Over 27.5 points (-105)

Since the trade deadline, the Pheonix Suns and the Portland Trail Blazers are the two best-performing teams in the league per offensive rating. Both are scoring more than 117 points per 100 possessions, and the over/under total on this game is in the 230s. Both teams don’t play the best defense in the world, so there is some very good potential for there to be a lot of scoring in this one.

Scorers score and Devin Booker is among the best in the league at putting the ball in the bucket. While Booker’s season average is 25.6 points, he’s averaging 28.5 points over the last 10 games. In a game where we think there can be a ton of scoring, we’re going to back Booker to hit over 27.5 points. The price isn’t bad either, as we can find it at -105 pretty widely available.

LaMelo Ball – Under 29.5 pts + reb + ast (-113)

The Charlotte Hornets match up with the Los Angeles Clippers on Thursday, and Charlotte will be without Gordon Hayward, Miles Bridges, and Cody Martin. Having dropped six of their last 10 games, the Hornets will be looking to rebound a little bit, but it might be hard to do so against this Clippers team. The Clippers are good defensively and don’t play at a fast pace, which should limit opportunities for LaMelo Ball to rack up points, rebounds, and assists.

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What is an NBA player prop?

An NBA player prop is a wager offered on an individual player. NBA player props are most commonly offered for single games, although they can be offered in the form of futures bets that span an entire series or a season.

NBA player props are different in that the outcome of the bet isn’t tied to the outcome of the game. An NBA player prop is simply a bet on whether or not the individual player produces a certain outcome that is tied to a specific statistic.

Examples of NBA player props

The most common NBA player props focus on prominent statistics such as points, rebounds, and assists, but the offering doesn’t stop there. Bettors can often find NBA player props for blocks, turnovers, steals, and three-pointers.

NBA player props can also come in groupings, most commonly involving points, rebounds, and assists. Bettors can regularly find player props offered for points plus rebounds, points plus assists, rebounds plus assists, and points plus rebounds plus assists. In these combination player props, it’s the total of all of the included statistics.

How are NBA player props listed?

There are two common ways for sportsbooks to list NBA player props. The most common form is by listing an over/under total. For example, FanDuel Sportsbook may list a LeBron James player prop of over/under 27.5 points, with prices given for each side.

LeBron James over 27.5 points (-130)
LeBron James under 27.5 points (+110)

A second way NBA player props are commonly listed is a yes/no offering. For example, will Zion Williamson score a double-double? Bettors can then select yes (picking that Williamson will score a double-double) or no (picking that Williamson will not score a double-double).

Advantages of betting NBA player props

The NBA is known for being tough to beat by betting on typical offerings such as the spread, moneyline, or totals. These are the types of NBA wagers that have been around the longest and the markets that are the most efficient from an oddsmaking standpoint. Although NBA player props are growing in popularity and becoming more efficient, this sector of the NBA betting market is still on the younger side so there may be more inefficiencies available for bettors to take advantage of.

Best NBA player props resources

If you’re interested in betting on NBA player props, then you’ve come to the right place. Here at SharpSide.com, we’ve built a large database for NBA player props. You can search the site using the search box in the top menu in order to access individual player profile pages. On those pages, you’ll find betting odds across multiple sportsbooks (as long as they’re available) so you can shop for the best prices. You’ll also find historical data and results from past performances so you can see how a player has been performing as of late. You can access the full list of NBA players by clicking here.

We’d also recommend checking out all of the tools and content on offer from our partner site, RotoGrinders.com. While RotoGrinders.com focuses on daily fantasy sports (DFS), the content, projections, and tools can very much be used to help with NBA player props. In DFS, you’re trying to select players who will perform in a certain way, which is what you’re trying to do when betting on NBA player props. Much of the NBA DFS content, projections, and tools available from the expert team at RotoGrinders.com can be used to help you become a better NBA player props bettor.

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