Best NBA Player Props: Free Picks and Analysis for Thursday, June 17

Kevin Durant
Kevin Durant of the Brooklyn Nets (photo credit: Imagn/USA TODAY Sports)

At SharpSide.com, we love player props. We also love the NBA. Pairing the two together, and we’re here to provide you with our best NBA player props of the day. In this article, you’ll find free picks and analysis for our favorite NBA player props on Thursday, June 17.

There is only one game on the schedule for Thursday, and it’s Game 6 between the Brooklyn Nets and Milwaukee Bucks. The Nets are up 3-2 in the series with a chance to close it out on Milwaukee’s court. For our favorite Bucks-Nets player props, we’re looking at Kevin Durant and Jeff Green, both of whom had pretty epic games last time out.

Kevin Durant – Under 10.5 rebounds (-115)

After Kevin Durant grabbed 17 rebounds in that incredible performance from Game 5, it could be easy to want to back over 10.5 rebounds in Thursday’s Game 6 in Milwaukee. You might even be further inclined to take over 10.5 rebounds when you look and see that Durant had 13 rebounds in Game 5. We’re going the other way, though, and we’re backing the under.

In Game 6, Durant was a minutes monster, playing att 48 minutes of the game. He’s averaged 41.4 minutes per game this series and 44.3 minutes per game over the last three. With the Brooklyn Nets up 3-2 in the series, Durant can probably take a couple of minutes off so that he’s closer to the 40-minute mark. We’re also factoring in that the Milwaukee Bucks can’t shoot as awful as they have been. Well, of course they can, but we’re counting on the Bucks to improve a little bit in that regard, and shots going in mean less opportunities for rebounds.

Jeff Green – Under 13.5 points

Another player prop we’re looking to fade for Game 6 between the Bucks and Nets is for Jeff Green, and we’re backing under 13.5 points for Green.

Green is coming off a performance of 27 points. In that performance, he shot 7-of-8 from three-point land. He had only played three games before that this postseason and was inactive for six games. In the three he played, Green scored 17 points total, never more than eight points, and averaged 5.7 points per game. At this point in his career, Green is nothing more than a role player. He stepped up in a huge way in Game 5, but that’s not normal for Green and we expect him to go back to being very much the role player in Game 6.

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What is an NBA player prop?

An NBA player prop is a wager offered on an individual player. NBA player props are most commonly offered for single games, although they can be offered in the form of futures bets that span an entire series or a season.

NBA player props are different in that the outcome of the bet isn’t tied to the outcome of the game. An NBA player prop is simply a bet on whether or not the individual player produces a certain outcome that is tied to a specific statistic.

Examples of NBA player props

The most common NBA player props focus on prominent statistics such as points, rebounds, and assists, but the offering doesn’t stop there. Bettors can often find NBA player props for blocks, turnovers, steals, and three-pointers.

NBA player props can also come in groupings, most commonly involving points, rebounds, and assists. Bettors can regularly find player props offered for points plus rebounds, points plus assists, rebounds plus assists, and points plus rebounds plus assists. In these combination player props, it’s the total of all of the included statistics.

How are NBA player props listed?

There are two common ways for sportsbooks to list NBA player props. The most common form is by listing an over/under total. For example, FanDuel Sportsbook may list a LeBron James player prop of over/under 27.5 points, with prices given for each side.

LeBron James over 27.5 points (-130)
LeBron James under 27.5 points (+110)

A second way NBA player props are commonly listed is a yes/no offering. For example, will Zion Williamson score a double-double? Bettors can then select yes (picking that Williamson will score a double-double) or no (picking that Williamson will not score a double-double).

Advantages of betting NBA player props

The NBA is known for being tough to beat by betting on typical offerings such as the spread, moneyline, or totals. These are the types of NBA wagers that have been around the longest and the markets that are the most efficient from an oddsmaking standpoint. Although NBA player props are growing in popularity and becoming more efficient, this sector of the NBA betting market is still on the younger side so there may be more inefficiencies available for bettors to take advantage of.

Best NBA player props resources

If you’re interested in betting on NBA player props, then you’ve come to the right place. Here at SharpSide.com, we’ve built a large database for NBA player props. You can search the site using the search box in the top menu in order to access individual player profile pages. On those pages, you’ll find betting odds across multiple sportsbooks (as long as they’re available) so you can shop for the best prices. You’ll also find historical data and results from past performances so you can see how a player has been performing as of late. You can access the full list of NBA players by clicking here.

We’d also recommend checking out all of the tools and content on offer from our partner site, RotoGrinders.com. While RotoGrinders.com focuses on daily fantasy sports (DFS), the content, projections, and tools can very much be used to help with NBA player props. In DFS, you’re trying to select players who will perform in a certain way, which is what you’re trying to do when betting on NBA player props. Much of the NBA DFS content, projections, and tools available from the expert team at RotoGrinders.com can be used to help you become a better NBA player props bettor.

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