Bills vs. Titans Player Props and Betting Preview

Josh Allen of the Buffalo Bills
Josh Allen of the Buffalo Bills (photo credit: USA TODAY Sports)

It’s been a unique season in the NFL due to having to deal with the COVID-19 pandemic. Several games have been rescheduled and it is likely that more rescheduling will happen as the season progresses. That’s why we’re getting the Week 5 game between the Buffalo Bills and Tennessee Titans on Tuesday, October 13, instead of a Thursday, Sunday, or Monday when NFL games are usually played.

Looking at the Bills vs. Titans betting odds in the SharpSide sports betting app, we can see that the Bills are 3.5-point favorites on the point spread. The game will be played in Tennessee after the Titans had last week off, but they’ve been unable to practice in full due to the facility shutting down and several players have tested positive for COVID-19 in the days before the game. In this article, we’ll break down the Bills vs. Titans matchup from an NFL betting perspective and provide a few free picks for the game.

Buffalo Bills (-3.5) at Tennessee Titans

Tuesday, October 13, 2020, at 7 p.m. ET
Nissan Stadium
Nashville, TN

Both teams enter this game undefeated. The Bills are 4-0 and atop the AFC East, led by the solid play of quarterback Josh Allen who has really found a groove with his new weapon, Stefon Diggs. The Titans are 3-0 and sitting at the top of the AFC South. The three games the Titans have played have resulted in 1-, 2-, and 3- point victories, so they’ve all been very close. The Bills coming to town will be the biggest test yet for Ryan Tannehill, Derrick Henry, and the rest of this Tennessee squad.

A.J. Brown To Return, Other Titans Will Miss

Tannehill’s best weapon is wide receiver A.J. Brown, who has missed the past two games due to injury. The second-year wideout should be back for Week 5, which gives Tannehill an excellent option in the passing game. But, where Brown returns, others will miss.

Adam Humphries and Corey Davis have both been placed on the team’s reserve/COVID-19 list and likely to miss this game. Both players stepped up a bit in the absence of Brown and having all of them in the lineup at the same time would certainly give Tennessee more options to move the ball and take some of the focus off of Brown, but Humphries and Davis won’t be on the field come Tuesday night. The Bills have a pretty good pass defense as is and not having to deal with fewer bodies from Tennessee should help them in this regard.

There are several other Titans who will miss the game either due to being placed on the team’s reserve/COVID-19 list or having an injury, which doesn’t make things any better for Tennessee.

One thing that could help Tennessee in the passing game is that Bills cornerback Tre’Davious White is questionable for this one.

Can Josh Allen Keep It Up?

Bills quarterback Allen has been playing very well this season. Through four games, he’s thrown for more than 1,300 yards and has just 1 interception. He’s tossed 12 touchdowns and also run for 3 touchdowns.

Allen’s favorite target is a new target in Diggs, who came over in a trade with the Minnesota Vikings. Diggs has 26 receptions for 403 yards and 2 touchdowns this season. In two of the four games, he’s gone over the 100-yard mark. Diggs is a very good wide receiver who gives the Bills an added element of explosiveness in the passing game. Whether it’s sitting in the pocket or scrambling around to make a play, Allen has done well in finding his best playmaker and the two have been producing well together. Tennessee will have its hands full with these two.

To make free player prop picks, check out the SharpSide sports betting app, available now for iOS and Android.

Derrick Henry Player Prop: Over 99.5 rushing yards

Brown is back, the Titans will be without Humphries and Davis, Henry is a workhorse, and the weaker part of this Buffalo defense is against the run. All of these factors lead us to believe that Henry is in for a big day.

Buffalo’s rush defense is ranked 20th by Football Outsiders and 29th by Pro Football Focus, and Tennessee wants to run the ball. Henry is sixth in rushing attempts this season, but he’s only played three games. In those three games, Henry has averaged more than 27 rushing attempts per game. There will be plenty of opportunities for Henry to run the ball and he’s capable of getting to 100 yards through volume or by breaking off a big run or two.

Derrick Henry Player Prop: Over 22.5 rushing attempts (DraftKings)

This pick comes from a betting line we saw at DraftKings Sportsbook. The Titans are a team that often does exactly what everyone thinks they’re going to do, which centers around running the ball plenty with Henry and looking to play tough defense. Henry has not had fewer than 25 rushing attempts in a game this season and we expect him to get a similar workload in this spot.

Josh Allen Player Prop: Under 297.5 passing yards

Allen has been playing very well this season and Daboll has done a great job with putting him in a position to succeed, but this passing yards total for Allen is a bit too high and we’ll be taking the under on this player prop of 297.5 passing yards.

Allen’s passing yards total started at 219.5 in the Bills’ first game of the season, when they played the lowly New York Jets, and it’s increased in every game since with Allen hitting the over each time. This total is about 20 yards higher than his total was last week (278.5) and Allen has gone over his passing yards total in each week. He’s having a very good season, but this number is a bit too high and we see value on the under.

Ryan Tannehill Player Prop: Under 0.5 interceptions

Tannehill should be pretty safe with the ball in this game, especially if the Titans are looking to control the time of possession and keep the ball away from Allen and the Bills offense. Tennessee’s game plan will likely involve a heavy dose of running with Henry, as it generally does, and not having Humphries or Davis should lead to them wanting to lean on Henry and the running game more, which means fewer pass attempts for Tannehill and fewer opportunities to throw an interception. At plus money, we’ll take it.

To make free player prop picks, check out the SharpSide sports betting app, available now for iOS and Android.

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