Best NBA Betting Picks and Player Props for Wednesday, January 22
Who’s ready for more NBA betting action? Wednesday gives us 12 games on the slate, including the debut of Zion Williamson, Ja Morant playing against the Boston Celtics, and more. Here are the best NBA player props and bet we found for Wednesday.
Kelly Oubre, SF, Phoenix Suns
– Under 7.5 Rebounds (-152)
The Phoenix Suns have been banged up all season and haven’t really had their full starting five until recently. Deandre Ayton has finally returned to the starting lineup and has hurt Kelly Oubre’s production, especially rebounding the ball.
Oubre has a 0.03 drop in rebound production per minute with Ayton on the court and they both play 35-plus minutes a night, so that adds up. I think this player prop line is too high and should be lower than 7.5 rebounds. We pay a little bit extra juice, but I feel confident that this line is too high and I’m OK laying the juice.
Will Barton, SG, Denver Nuggets
– Over 4.5 Assists (+118)
I love this spot and player prop for Will Barton on Wednesday night. This is the perfect game environment for him, going up against a fast-paced Houston Rockets team that likes to go up and down the court. This game has a 229.5 total and Barton should command a ton of usage with Gary Harris, Jamal Murray, and Paul Millsap out.
This also grades out as a great matchup for Barton. If you look at the RotoGrinders Defense vs. Matchup Tool, you will find that Barton is a scoring wing player and that type of player will see a 30% boost in assists in this spot. This is also a big pace-up spot for the Nuggets because they are involved in game with a 229.5 total, which is unheard of for this team.
I think everything is lining up for this to be a big game for Barton and we get this with some underdog juice at +118. I love his spot and I will be taking the over on 4.5 assists for Barton on Wednesday.
Gordon Hayward, SF, Boston Celtics
– Over 3.5 Assists (-125)
This is a great spot for the Boston Celtics to continue to roll after a big win against the Los Angeles Lakers on Martin Luther King Jr. Day.
I think this line should be set at 4.5 assists for Gordon Hayward, yet we have it at 3.5 with small juice on the over at -125. I like this spot for Hayward because it’s a fast-paced game that can go small and fits Hayward’s play style. It’s one of the higher totals on the board at 231.5 and Jaylen Brown is questionable, which gives us a little bit more incentive to bet this now.
This also grades out well on the RotoGrinders Defense vs. Matchup Tool that I talk about a ton. We see in this matchup that Hayward’s type of player will see a 16.7% assist increase compared to his average.
This is just a spot where I think Hayward fits this game so well and 3.5 assists just feels one assist too low. I’ll be taking the over on this player prop for Hayward.
Minnesotta Timberwolves ML (-114)
I’m getting in on the Minnesota Timberwolves while I can with this new-look lineup of Shabazz Napier, Jarrett Culver, Andrew Wiggins, Robert Covington, and Karl-Anthony Towns.
Wednesday, we get a juicy matchup for the Timberwolves against a bad Chicago Bulls team and the Timberwolves are basically a pick’em on the point spread. Things don’t really add up to me here and I think this line could creep all the way to Timberwolves (-3.5) by the end of the day. I understand Minnesota is on the road, but I’m buying in on this team after they traded away Jeff Teague. It seemed that he was a bit of a disaster and their bench players played better with him out of the lineup.
Minnesota also add a veteran in Allen Crabbe who fits this playing style more. I’m not saying Crabbe is a great player, but I will take him as a spot-up shooter instead of stealing usage away from guys like Wiggins, Towns, and Napier. I think the Timberwolves new-look lineup will also give them a boost defensively, which is great for this team because their players have the skillset to get out in transition and get easy buckets.
I love the Timberwolves to get a nice win on the road against the Bulls on Wednesday night.
NBA Record: 54-52 (+1.45 units)