Best NBA Betting Picks and Player Props for Tuesday, January 28

Gordon Hayward of the Boston Celtics (photo credit: USA TODAY Sports)

We’re back for another best bets article for Tuesday night in the NBA. This time, we’re focusing on a trio of player props. Let’s get to it.

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Dario Saric, PF, Phoenix Suns

– Under 5.5 Rebounds (-121)

The first bet we have for Tuesday is an NBA player prop. Dario Saric is not the most popular name in the league, but we can take advantage of a line that I think is just a tad too high when it comes to his rebounds for Tuesday.

I will be on the under on 5.5 rebounds for Saric because I see value and think this line should be set at 4.5. This is actually a good rebounding matchup for Saric, which does concern me a bit. The thing I like about this spot is that we have a player with a line of 5.5 rebounds who might only play 20 minutes.

His minutes vary so much from game to game. In this month alone he played 4 minutes one night and 37 another. On top of that, in three of his last four games he has played 20, 20, and 23 minutes. This is just a spot where I can see a lot of things going wrong and he doesn’t get the opportunity. That’s why I’m leaning with the under.

Zion Williamson, SF, New Orleans Pelicans

– Under 7.5 rebounds (-110)

The next bet we will be on is a Zion Williamson player prop. People love Williamson and for good reason, he’s just so much fun to watch. I love watching him play but this matchup against the Cleveland Cavaliers doesn’t grade out the greatest for him, and I am on the under on 7.5 rebounds because I think this matchup isn’t the easiest.

If you look at the RotoGrinders Defense vs. Matchup Tool, this is a -17.71% decrease in rebounds. There are many routes this could go wrong as well. Williamson could see fewer minutes because they are being cautious with him and they pull him for the game. They basically have him in bubble wrap. Seeing him play 27 minutes last game is encouraging, but I need to see more of those type of minutes to be sold.

Gordon Hayward, SF, Boston Celtics

– Over 3.5 Assists (-121)

We’ve hit the Gordon Hayward assists last article and I’m going back the well again. Jayson Tatum is unlikely to play Tuesday and Enes Kanter is still out. Those guys both command usage that need to be funneled to other players to open more usage. Hayward should soak up some of that usage and at a line of 3.5 assists, that just seems too low.

I think this line should be priced at 4.5 assists and at a price of +100. Either way, we will take the value when we can get it and jump all over it. The Boston Celtics have been banged up for a while and Hayward has shown recently that he can beat this line easily. In four of his last five games, Hayward has gone over the 3.5-assist mark.

This is just simply value that I can’t pass up on and that’s why I’m taking the over.

NBA Record: 58-56 (+1.30 units)

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