Best NBA Betting Picks and Player Props for Thursday, February 27

De’Aaron Fox of the Sacramento Kings (photo credit: USA TODAY Sports)

In today’s SharpSide NBA betting picks article, we’ve got one point spread pick and one player prop. Let’s not waste any time and get right to the picks.

Indiana Pacers (-9.5)

The Indiana Pacers are going up against a bad Portland Trail Blazers team, and I mean this Portland team is bad. I’ve talked about that a lot. Now without Damian Lillard to carry them, it’s going to be a rough stretch for Portland.

Indiana plays great team basketball and the Blazers are a very poor defensive team, currently ranked 4th worst in the league. The Pacers take advantage of bad teams and they currently cover against the spread 54% of the time. Portland is a bottom five team at covering against the spread at 40%, and that is typically with Lillard.

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Since the trade deadline the Detroit Pistons have the slowest pace and worst offensive rating in the entire league. Now, you might be wondering why I’m bringing up the Pistons. Well, Portland barely beat them at home with CJ McCollum having to put up 41 points and fall just a single rebound short of a triple-double. I just think that this team can only cover if McCollum carries them. With a guard like Malcolm Brogdon on defense for the Pacers, McCollum can be contained enough to where I think the Pacers beat up the Blazers.

De’Aaron Fox, PG, Sacramento Kings

– Under 19.5 Points (-110)

De’Aaron Fox is the number one option in the Sacramento Kings offense. He is a young point guard getting better and better, but this is a matchup I see him struggling with. Chris Paul might not be the defender he once was. He’s currently at a 107.2 defensive rating, which is three points down from last season, but Paul still is a good defender when you compare him to other NBA players. I don’t love this matchup for Fox and will be on under 19.5 points for him.

Fox averages about 19.8 points per game and he is the focal part of this Kings offense, but I see paths to failure. I talked about the tough defense and I think guys like Buddy Hield and Bogdan Bogdanovic have exploitable matchups. If one of those guys get going, they are more than willing to soak up a ton of usage, which can take away from Fox.

On top of that, Fox is currently dealing with a groin injury and a left shoulder injury, and he’s a lefty. He left last game for a little bit because of injury. I didn’t even mention that in six meetings between Fox and Paul, Fox has never gone over 19 points. The line is set at 19.5 points. With all the things that could go wrong tonight, I’ll be on the under.

NBA Record: 73-66 (+3.90)

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