Avalanche vs. Stars Game 7 Betting Preview, Odds, and Picks

Roope Hintz of the Dallas Stars and Nathan MacKinnon of the Colorado Avalanche
Roope Hintz of the Dallas Stars and Nathan MacKinnon of the Colorado Avalanche (photo credit: USA TODAY Sports)

Sports fans, and especially hockey fans, get a pair of treats on Friday, September 4, with two Game 7s in the NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs. Both are in the Western Conference, with the first one seeing the Colorado Avalanche take on the Dallas Stars. The winner will advance to the Western Conference Final to take on the winner of the Vegas Golden Knights versus Vancouver Canucks, which also has a Game 7 on Friday. In this article, we’ll be previewing Game 7 between the Avalanche and Stars and give an Avalanche vs. Stars betting pick.

Avalanche vs. Stars Odds

Looking at the Avalanche vs. Stars odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, the Avalanche are favored. On the Avalanche vs. Stars puck line, it’s Avalanche (-1.5) at around +185 at open compared to the Stars (+1.5) at -230. The Avalanche vs. Stars over/under opened at 6 goals at DraftKings Sportsbook, with the under slightly more favored.

Hockey tends to be more unpredictable than other sports, especially in the playoffs. With as unpredictable as the Stanley Cup Playoffs can be, and how often an underdog can topple a favorite, it can be more difficult to stomach a steep price on a big favorite. That said, the Avalanche vs. Stars betting lines don’t give us sticker shock on either side, so we’ll need to explore further.

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Avalanche Fighting Back from Down 3-1

Colorado dropped the first two games in this series to go down 0-2. The Avalanche won Game 3, but then lost Game 4. On the brink of elimination, the Avalanche won Game 5 by a score of 6-3 and then won Game 6 by a score of 4-1. Coming into the series, the Avalanche were favored, but injuries and a slow start caused them to slip behind Dallas. The most recent two games in the series have shown us just how good the Avalanche can be, though.

Goalie Michael Hutchinson has stepped in for Colorado and done well. He’ll likely get the nod for Game 7 as the Avalanche look to ride the wave they’re on. When Colorado gets going, they’re as good as anyone in the league and arguably the best team in the league.

Having been up 3-1 and dropped Game 5 and Game 6, Dallas has a lot of pressure. The Stars have done well to go toe to toe with Colorado throughout the series. Whether it be scoring, toughness, or goaltending, Dallas has had its fair share of success against Colorado in this series, specifically early on. While that’s how things started out, water could be reaching its level and the Avalanche are showing that they have a higher ceiling.

The top-end talent for the Avalanche has the potential to be too much for Dallas to handle. All-world forward Nathan MacKinnon is coming off a Game 6 that saw him net a goal and earn an assist as he extended his point streak to 14 games. Over that span, MacKinnon has 9 goals and 16 assists. Add in Gabriel Landeskog, Mikko Rantanen, and Cale Makar and you can see just how talented the Colorado roster is. Landeskog is battling an injury we’ll want to monitor, though.

Stars Looking for Redemption

Last season, the Stars were up 3-2 in the second-round series against the St. Louis Blues. Game 6 was in Dallas and the Blues came out on top. St. Louis went on to win Game 7 as well and eventually went on to win the Stanley Cup. Getting redemption in a Game 7 after what happened last season will likely be on Dallas’ mind for this one. The question is, will the thought of redemption propel them to play better or will the pressure be too much to handle?

Dallas had control of the series through the first four games, but they’ve struggled in the two games that Hutchinson has started in net for the Avalanche. Hot goalies can be everything in the Stanley Cup Playoffs. Not only can they boost their team, but a hot goalie can really get in the head of an opponent. After scoring 19 goals through the first four games of this series, the Stars have only mustered 4 goals in the recent two games, which includes Game 5 when Colorado shot out to a 5-0 lead in the first period before taking its foot off the gas later on.

Avalanche vs. Stars Moneyline Pick

We’re taking Colorado for this one, and we’ll be looking to do it early in hopes of grabbing a better price because we think the Avalanche will become a little more favored as this one gets closer to game time. We’d be comfortable taking Colorado up to -150.

The Avalanche are simply the better team all around and have a higher ceiling. Hutchinson looks pretty good in net, too. We’ll want to pay attention to the news surrounding Landeskog, so keep that in mind. He suffered a cut on his leg from a teammate’s skate in Game 6 and is considered a game-time decision for Game 7. That said, hockey players are known to be the toughest athletes on the planet and this is a Game 7. Our instincts tell us he plays.

If you’re into momentum and pressure being real things, it’s hard to ignore that the Avalanche have all of the momentum and the Stars are feeling the majority of the pressure.

Another game bet we don’t mind is the Avalanche to win in regulation at +120.

Avalanche vs. Stars Over/Under Pick

There could be some nerves in Game 7, of course, but this series has provided plenty of goals. In five of the six games so far, more than 6 goals have been scored and there have been an average of 8 goals scored per game. This over/under is one we feel should be at 6.5 and likely with the over juiced more than the under. Instead, we’re seeing the line at 6 and some sportsbooks are giving us a better price on taking the over. Take the over.

Avalanche vs. Stars Player Props

MacKinnon is a madman on ice and we are expecting him to play like just that in Game 7. He’s been on an incredible 14-game point streak, so it’s with good reason that MacKinnon’s player prop to have 1+ points is priced at -375. We just can’t see him getting completely shut out in this one. He’ll be on the ice a ton, both at full strength and special teams, and has the ability to score from anywhere or set his talented teammates up for goals. With the Landeskog injury, it has the potential to benefit this Mackinnon player prop either way. If Landeskog ends up being out, which isn’t what we think will happen, but it is a possibility, then Colorado will need to rely on MacKinnon even more. Should Landeskog play, we know how great these two can be on the ice together, which can lead to more opportunities for points for MacKinnon.

Another Avalanche vs. Stars player prop we’ll be eyeing is MacKinnon over 3.5 shots, but for this one we’ll want to see how the Landeskog news trends. With a price of -240 at DraftKings Sportsbook, it’s up there. If the chance that Landeskog sits increases, we’ll be more inclined to take the over on 3.5 shots for MacKinnon. If Landeskog plays, we’ll need the price or line to come down in order to take it, or we’ll just stay away altogether.

On the other side, two players that draw interest are Tyler Seguin and Jamie Benn. Seguin has an over/under of 3.5 shots and Benn’s is at 2.5 shots. Seguin is one we’re more confident that it goes under, but the price we’d have to pay is scaring us away from taking it. We can get even money or close to it on over 2.5 shots for Benn and that is an Avalanche vs. Stars player prop that catches our eye.

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